Democrats edge out incumbent Republican in key swing state poll

Democrats Lead Republican Incumbent in Key Michigan Swing State Poll

A recent poll shows Democratic candidates gaining ground over incumbent Republican Representative Tom Barrett in a Michigan district that includes Lansing, the state capital. This district previously supported President Donald Trump in the 2024 election.

Context of Recent Election Trends

Following Democrats’ strong performance nationwide in recent elections—winning key races such as New York’s mayoral contest, gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey, and influencing California’s redistricting plans—they are now focusing on winning crucial swing states like Michigan in the 2026 midterms.

Michigan’s Political Landscape

House Control at Stake

Republicans hold a narrow 219-213 majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, making every seat crucial for control of Congress. The 7th congressional district in Michigan, home to about 700,000 residents, backed Trump last year but is now showing signs of a Democratic shift.

"Democrats nationwide are looking to secure electoral victories in 2026, hoping to gain control in Congress to counteract Trump’s remaining term."

Incumbent Representative Tom Barrett

Barrett won the seat in the 2024 election and currently represents the district. The latest poll suggests a competitive race ahead as Democrats try to flip this district.

Author’s summary: Democrats are increasingly competitive in Michigan’s swing districts as they aim to shift congressional control in the 2026 midterms amidst a fiercely divided and pivotal political landscape.

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Newsweek Newsweek — 2025-11-05

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