By next week, the results of New Jersey’s tight gubernatorial race will be in. Until then, many political analysts and voters alike are reading public opinion polls to try and predict which candidate – Democrat Mikie Sherrill or Republican Jack Ciattarelli – will win.
They are never meant to serve as a crystal ball, but rather to help us understand the why and how behind voter behavior.
According to Ashley Koning, director of the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling, public interest polling serves several roles in democracy. During elections, polls provide a systematic and quantitative way to measure public sentiment in real time.
Author's summary: Election polls help understand voter behavior.