Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 111

Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales Prediction and Odds for UFC Vegas 111

UFC Vegas 111 features a flyweight bout between Matt Schnell and Joseph Morales on Saturday, continuing an event that also includes Gabriel Bonfim versus Randy Brown on the main card.

Matt Schnell’s Recent Performance

Matt Schnell (17-9) broke a three-fight losing streak in April by securing a competitive unanimous decision over Jimmy Flick. Before that, he suffered defeats to Cody Durden by submission and Steve Erceg by knockout. Schnell has demonstrated resilience and solid submission defense as he prepares to face Joseph Morales.

Joseph Morales’ Current Form

Joseph Morales (13-2) enters UFC Vegas 111 on a five-fight winning streak. He recently won the TUF 33 finale with a triangle choke submission against Alibi Idiris. Morales previously earned a split decision victory over Sidemar Honorio and submitted Anthony Do, showcasing a well-rounded approach heading into this fight.

Fight Analysis and UFC Vegas 111 Odds

According to DraftKings odds, Matt Schnell’s refined submission skills and Octagon experience present a significant challenge for Joseph Morales. Schnell has five UFC finishes and excels in quick neck and armbar attacks, which could capitalize on Morales’ tendencies during mid-fight scrambling.

"Matt Schnell’s slick submission game and Octagon experience make him a dangerous test for Joseph Morales at UFC Vegas 111."

While Morales has momentum from his winning streak, Schnell has faced tougher UFC competition overall.

Summary

This matchup pits Morales’ current hot streak against Schnell’s extensive UFC experience and submission proficiency, promising an intriguing contest in the flyweight division.

Author’s Conclusion

Both fighters bring distinct strengths, but Schnell’s higher level of UFC opponents and sharp submission skills could prove decisive at UFC Vegas 111.

ClutchPoints — 2025-11-07